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Is a CS degree still worth it?

US Census working paper CES-WP-26-56 (Orr, Tucker, and Warren, September 2026) finds that the most AI-exposed decile of college majors saw their likelihood of initial employment decline by five percentage points, while full-quarter initial earnings declined by thirteen percent. The paper says that top decile is composed largely of computer science, information systems, and other degree fields closely related to software development. Effects are relative to less-exposed majors after ChatGPT, not a score for one degree, and the paper is a working paper. The Bureau of Labor Statistics still projects software developer employment (SOC 15-1252) to grow 10% from 2025 to 2035. Read will AI replace software developers?

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